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Climate Change in the Media - Scenarios and Strategies
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Greetings,
intelligent viewers.
On today’s program,
we’ll go to the media to
review, degree by degree,
climate change impact
scenarios of the future
that necessitate urgent
drastic action today.
Then, we’ll look at
two more articles on
how effective mitigation
can and must take place.
At the recent
United Nations
Climate Change
Conference that just ended
in Cancún, Mexico,
leaders focused on
the goal of
keep the global
average temperature rise
below 2 degrees Celsius
to avoid most serious
climate change impacts.
This includes
the 0.7 degrees increase
already reached
since pre-industrial times.
Others, however,
called for even stronger
greenhouse gas reduction
goals to keep warming
below 1.5 degrees.
Researchers tell us
that we are on track to a
4 degree temperature rise
by 2060 and
6 degrees by 2100.
What do these
temperature increases mean?
How do they translate
to changes
we can see around us?
Award winning
British author Mark Lynas
is a specialist
on climate change
who wrote three books
on the subject:
“High Tide: News
from a Warming World,”
“Carbon Calculator,”
and “Six Degrees:
Our Future
on a Hotter Planet.”
Mr. Lynas’s book
“Six Degrees”
won the prestigious
Royal Society Prize
for Science Books and,
along with “High Tide,”
are listed on
the “Environment top 25
of all time” bestseller list.
“Six Degrees”
was also the basis of
a television documentary
by National Geographic.
The following is
Mr. Lynas’ article
which was written for
“The Guardian,”
a UK-based
major newspaper,
on April 14, 2009,
a slightly updated précis
of the book, “Six Degrees:
Our Future
on a Hotter Planet.”
The article is titled,
“Climate Change
Explained: The Impact
of Temperature Rises.”
“Less than 2C
Arctic sea icecap
disappears, leaving
polar bears homeless
and changing
the Earth’s energy balance
dramatically as
reflective ice is replaced
during summer months
by darker sea surface.
Now expected by 2030
or even earlier.
Tropical coral reefs
suffer severe and repeated
bleaching episodes due to
hotter ocean waters,
killing off most coral and
delivering a hammer blow
to marine biodiversity.
Droughts spread through
the sub-tropics,
accompanied by
heatwaves and
intense wildfires.
Worst-hit are
the Mediterranean,
the south-west
United States,
southern Africa
and Australia.
2C-3C
Summer heatwaves such as
that in Europe in 2003,
which killed
30,000 people,
become annual events.
Extreme heat sees
temperatures reaching
the low 40s Celsius
in southern England.
Amazon rainforest
crosses a “tipping point”
where extreme heat
and lower rainfall makes
the forest unviable –
much of it burns
and is replaced by
desert and savannah.
Dissolved CO2
turns the oceans
increasingly acidic,
destroying
remaining coral reefs and
wiping out many species
of plankton
which are the basis of
the marine food chain.
Several meters
of sea level rise
is now inevitable as
the Greenland ice sheet
disappears.
3C-4C
Glacier and snow-melt
in the world’s
mountain chains
depletes freshwater flows
to downstream cities
and agricultural land.
Most affected are
California, Peru, Pakistan
and China.
Global food production
is under threat
as key breadbaskets
in Europe, Asia
and the United States
suffer drought,
and heatwaves outstrip
the tolerance of crops.
The Gulf Stream current
declines significantly.
Cooling in Europe
is unlikely
due to global warming,
but oceanic changes
alter weather patterns
and lead to
higher than average
sea level rise in
the eastern US and UK.
4C-5C
Another tipping point
sees massive amounts
of methane –
a potent greenhouse gas –
released by melting
Siberian permafrost,
further boosting
global warming.
Much human habitation
in southern Europe,
north Africa,
the Middle East and
other sub-tropical areas
is rendered unviable
due to excessive heat
and drought.
The focus of civilization
moves towards the poles,
where temperatures
remain cool enough
for crops, and rainfall –
albeit with severe floods
– persists.
All sea ice is gone
from both poles;
mountain glaciers
are gone from the Andes,
Alps and Rockies.
5C-6C
Global average
temperatures are now
hotter than for 50m years.
The Arctic region sees
temperatures rise
much higher than average
– up to 20C – meaning
the entire Arctic is now
ice-free all year round.
Most of the topics,
sub-tropics and even
lower mid-latitudes are
too hot to be inhabitable.
Sea level rise is now
sufficiently rapid
that coastal cities
across the world
are largely abandoned.
6C and above
Danger of
“runaway warming,”
perhaps spurred by
release of oceanic
methane hydrates.
Could the surface
of the Earth
become like Venus,
entirely uninhabitable?
Most sea life is dead.
Human refuges now
confined entirely
to highland areas
and the polar regions.
Human population
is drastically reduced.
Perhaps 90% of species
become extinct,
rivaling the worst
mass extinctions
in the Earth’s
4.5 billion-year history.
With each added degree
of temperature, the impacts
compound in the range
and extent of devastation.
Changes can
occur abruptly.
How can we stay
within safe limits
of planetary warming?
Ecological economists
at Dalhousie University
in Canada have undertaken
one of the most
holistic analyses to date
on the effect
of dietary choices
on the environment,
and point to
an important factor
in minimizing
temperature rise.
The following is an
excerpt of Reuters’ report
on the new study,
by Gerard Wynn,
London-based journalist
who has helped coordinate
Reuters global coverage
of green business and
environmental markets.
Mr. Wynn’s article,
as published
on October 4, 2010,
is titled “Meat Diets Pose
Environmental Danger:
Report.”
“People will have to
cut meat from their diets
if the world is to stay
within safer limits
of planet-warming
greenhouse gases,
nitrate pollution
and habitat destruction,
according to
a journal article
published on Monday.
Experts agree that
eating plant products
can be better
for the environment,
because
eating meat involves
consuming animals
which are themselves
raised on plants,
a less efficient process.
But there is some
controversy about just
how far people should
shun meat
for vegetables and grains
to curb damage
to the environment,
partly because of
wide disagreement
about exactly
what those impacts are.
Monday's paper
used coarse estimates
to argue that,
on current trends,
livestock farming
on its own -- disregarding
all other human activity –
- would push the world
near danger levels
for climate change
and habitat destruction
by mid-century.
"We suggest that reining
in growth of this sector
should be prioritized,"
said the authors
from Canada's
Dalhousie University,
in their article titled
"Forecasting potential
global environmental costs
of livestock production
2000-2050."
The paper described
"a profound disconnect
between the anticipated
scale of potential
environmental impacts
associated with projected
livestock production levels
and even
the most optimistic
mitigation strategies."
Solutions to the problem
included using
best practice such as
substituting manure
for nitrogen fertilizers,
and increasing
agricultural productivity,
said the paper published
in the Proceedings
of the National Academy
of Sciences.
But efficiency gains
would not be enough.
Per capita
meat consumption
would have to be cut.
"Across the board
reductions in
per capita consumption
of livestock products
should ... be a
policy priority," it said.”
The new Canadian study
clearly stated
that animal product
consumption must be
significantly reduced
as a policy priority.
But how far should we go
if we were to avoid
the dangerous
climate change scenarios?
Forbes Magazine’s
Senior Editor
Matthew Herper
explored the issue
through an interview with
US Stanford University
biochemist
Dr. Patrick O. Brown.
The article, which
appeared in the global
business magazine’s
“Thought Leaders” section,
had the catchy headline:
“Drop That Burger:
Biotech whiz Pat Brown
makes the global-warming
case against
animal farming.”
The following is
an excerpt:
“Over the next 18 months
Brown, 55,
will take a break from his
normal scientific work
(finding out how
a small number of genes
are translated into
a much larger number
of proteins) in order to
change the way
the world farms and eats…
Brown, who
has been a vegetarian
for more than 30 years
and a vegan for 5,
notes that while livestock
accounts for only 9%
of human-caused
carbon dioxide emissions,
it accounts for 37% of
human-caused methane
(most of it emanating
from the animals'
digestive systems) and
65% of human-caused
nitrous oxide,
according to the Food &
Agriculture Organization
of the United Nations.
Both are far better
at trapping heat
than carbon dioxide,
meaning that cows,
chickens and their ilk
have a larger
greenhouse effect
than all the cars, trucks
and planes in the world.
…Brown brings scientific
clout to the debate –
he's a member of
the National Academy
of Sciences
and an investigator
for the Howard Hughes
Medical Institute –
and a realization that
the arguments for change
need to be economic,
not just ethical.
Growing crops
to feed animals requires
a lot more land, energy
and fertilizer
than growing them
to feed people, he says…
"There's absolutely
no possibility
that 50 years from now
this system will be
operating as it does now,"
says Brown.
"One approach is
to just wait, and
either we'll deal with it
or we'll be toast.
I want to approach this
as a solvable problem."
Solution:
"Eliminate animal farming
on planet Earth."
On July 29, 2010,
“The Guardian”
published the observation
of American journalist
Joseph Mayton, who is
based in Cairo, Egypt,
that “Vegetarianism
is Not Contrary to
Arab Culture.”
Mr. Mayton explained
that giving up meat
in the Middle East
could solve economic
and environmental
challenges, such as
climate change-caused
food insecurity.
Here, Egypt represents
many other countries
in a similar situation.
“In Egypt, for example,
we see that hundreds
of thousands of cattle are
imported into the country
for slaughter; lentils,
wheat and other staples
of the Egyptian diet
are also imported.
That all costs money.
If Egypt were to promote
and incorporate
vegetarianism into
its economic policy,
the millions of Egyptians
who struggle and
complain about
the rising costs of meat
could be fed.
It takes around 16kg
of animal feed to
produce one kilo of meat
for consumption.
That's a lot of money
and food that could serve
the hungry population.
According to
Hossam Gamal,
a researcher at the Egyptian
agriculture ministry,
"the exact amount of money
that could be saved by
reducing meat production
is unknown,
but I have estimated it
to be in the billions
[of dollars]".
…By reducing the need
for meat, he argues,
"we could, simultaneously,
increase health of people,
feed more and increase
our local economies
through the use
of farmland for crops
that we are currently
importing, such as
lentils and beans."
We appreciate
the journalists and media
groups around the world
informing us of the urgency
of climate change
as well as
the necessary and
most effective solutions.
Thank you for joining us
on today’s program.
Please stay tuned
to Supreme Master
Television for
Words of Wisdom,
next after
Noteworthy News.
Blessed be your courage
and wisdom,
imbued with love.
To read the full articles
presented, please visit
the following websites:
“Climate Change
Explained: The Impact
of Temperature Rises”
“Meat Diets Pose
Environmental Danger:
Report”
“Thought Leaders:
Drop That Burger”
“Vegetarianism
is Not Contrary to
Arab Culture”
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